Entries by Matt Nolan

December 2008 GDP

0.9% fall in December (production account, seasonally adjusted). However, September was revised down as well – so similarish to a 1% fall. Bigger decline than the RBNZ expected, but about in line with the market. Expenditure account (old C+I+G+X-M) fell by 0.6% – but has fallen a lot further over the past year. GDP deflator […]

December 08 quarter GDP out today

So, GDP is out today.  The market expects a 1% fall, ANZ has gone as far as 1.2% (I’m talking about a quarterly seasonally adjusted fall – none of this annualised rubbish). Now, I’m not so sure.  Yesterday’s current account deficit came in on the money, but the deficit as a % of GDP was […]