Donal over at Economics New Zealand posted up some OECD figures that indicate that the Gini coefficient over the OECD was the same in 2010 as it was in the mid-1990s, and that it is actually lower in New Zealand.
As I have noted earlier, I am going to start writing about inequality on the blog. So I have been spending a little bit of time reading about it!
Given this, I’ve realised we can take this analysis a step further. Bryan Perry from MSD discussed the Gini coefficient, and other indicators, in his introduction for the inequality conference in July. I wasn’t there – but I know the document is here, and I know Figure D.17 (third page of the pdf) has a graph of the Gini coefficient through time, and a trend line through it.
A couple of things should stand out when we look at this:
- The Gini coefficient has more been “flat” rather than “falling” since the mid-1990s if we look at the trend – the drop the OECD recorded looks like it may have been from comparing direct points, which are volatile
- When people complain about the large increase in the Gini coefficient they are not talking about the mid-1990s to today – they are talking about the reform period. This figure shows that there was a very sharp increase in the Gini coefficient between about 1987 and 1992.
So unlike other countries, the complaints are NOT about a creeping increase in inequality through time – but about the level shift in inequality that New Zealand experienced following the reforms. Ultimately, there is a view by these groups that the “equity-efficiency trade-off” New Zealand decided to make at that point wasn’t the right or just one.
Now I am not sure how we are even supposed to evaluate that claim without thinking about why, and how, inequality has changed. To give some flavour for this, I’ll comment on a few of the New Zealand specific research papers we have had about this change – if you know any other similar work, flick me a line in the comments 😉
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