Don’t stop limiting our competitors ability to compete say rivals

That is what the title to this article is suggesting right?

My impression is that Telecoms rivals want two things to continue happening:

  1. Telecom to be ineligible for broadband subsidies that they are getting from government,
  2. Telecom to be regulated in a way that:  Reduces Telecom’s ability to increase downstream costs.  Likely increases Telecom’s marginal costs in retail markets.

As a result, is this really surprising?  By increasing the relative marginal costs of a competitor, you can improve your own profitability in the end.  I wouldn’t really trust Telecom’s competitors as an objective analyst of how telecommunication policy should take place in NZ 😉

Testing my economic knowledge

Not PC has a quiz up on economics stuff – I thought it would be fun to do.  So here goes.

1)  Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures a country’s total economic activity.

Answer:  False.  As it excludes activities where the market isn’t explicit.

2)  Consumer spending represents around two-thirds of the economy.

Answer:  Depends how you define “economy”.  It is around 2/3 of the expenditure measure of GDP sure, but that doesn’t really tell us much.  When we say “economy” my guess is we are thinking along the lines of all activity, and in a production sense, so I’d probably guess the answer would be false.

3)  If prices are stable, that means there is no inflation.

Answer:  Depends how we define inflation, and depends how we define prices.  If the price of a quality adjusted unit of all good or services were unchanged, then inflation as defined by an economist would be zero.  Given that we can observe no change in a price index and still have inflation (depending on changes in quality, or shifts in relative prices) I would say the answer here is false.

4)  Money is a creation of government.

Answer:  Currently money is created by the sovereign state – but this doesn’t mean that money would only exist if we had a centrally organised authority guiding it.  As a result this could be true or false.

Given that the question says “is” I am assuming it is talking about money that is currently in circulation – and yes that money is created by the state, and individuals use it when trading with each other in order to lower the search cost associated with trade (relative to a barter economy).  So I would say true.

5) A period of gently falling prices is a bad thing.

False:  We just need a single counterfactual here.  So if prices are gradually declining, and economic agents expect them to, then there is no problem.  Furthermore, if this drop is the result of productivity improvements that is a nice thing.

6)  Before the Reserve Bank/Fed/Bank of England was created, the world was wracked with inflations, booms and busts.

True:  Back in the day there was indeed lots of volatility in prices and in output.  Sure the price level was on “average” stable – but hell did it move around!!!  Now we have booms and busts nowadays, and there are likely issues with the way monetary policy is put in place – sure.  But I take the fact that prices have risen gently over time during the last 30 years as an indication that central bank policy has increased certainty for economic agents – which is a good thing.

7)  Economics is a “value-free” science

False:  No science is “value-free” in the most extreme definition of the word.  However, economics does attempt to make its premises and the link to conclusions obvious such that any debatable value judgments are clear.

When economists describe a situation they are relatively close to value-free, when they make a conclusion they are far from it.  However, I think that the economic method is very good – I appreciate the transparency associated with it.  But I realise that a truly “value-free” science is a myth.

8)  Saving takes money out of the economy

False:  This doesn’t need explanation does it. In fact, to be honest I’d need a good definition of “money” and “economy” before I could answer this clearly.

9)  Interest rates are set by the Central Bank.

Yes and no.

Central banks set the “opportunity cost” of lending/borrowing for banks.  As a result, they tend to control marginal funding and therefore price.  They can “control” long-rates through peoples expectations of their future actions as well.

However, interest rates depend on a whole range of other factors – such as risk, and interest rates globally.  That is why we see interest rates move around a lot even when the central authority isn’t doing anything.

If all the other factors are constant then, yes it is TRUE central banks do set the opportunity cost of lending and borrowing and thereby control the interest rate.

10)  A good war is good for the economy

False:  Unless people value war I guess …

11)  Government spending pumps up an economy in depression

Depends how we define a depression.

If we define a depression as a sharp drop in economic activity, where the relative price of labour isn’t able to decline, and where monetary authorities are unwilling to print money to help this adjust, then there is a potential role for government.

Given the behaviour of economic agents, and given the very real labour market issues in the face of a rare “depression” then yes, it is TRUE government spending can increase activity by getting otherwise unemployed labour doing something.

Note:  A depression is an effective supply side failure – we have a market failure in the labour market that implies there is “money on the ground”.  This is a very rare situation.

12)  Banks are inherently bankrupt.

False:  I am not sure what this question means.  Literally they aren’t bankrupt as they have money (and a claim on loans).  Figuratively they aren’t morally bankrupt as they are just providing a service to help lenders and borrowers meet – and to pool risk.

But what is the problem?

Over at the Dim Post it is suggested that New Zealand is somehow failing when company owners sell their assets to non-New Zealanders.

However, there is no issue with selling companies in of itself.

The “problem” might be that, as a whole, New Zealand residents appear to own a significant amount relative to their income and wealth.

If we do believe this is the case, then we have to ask why. Just saying “look we are selling stuff”, “look NZ owes some stuff” doesn’t tell us why this is the case, whether this is a problem, and if it is a problem what we can do about it.

If we think that there is some systematic risk from this behaviour, or that New Zealand residents do not recognise the risk associated with this level of risk, then we should be looking for policies that will improve said decision making – not arbitrarily looking at policies that will “force” saving or the voluntary sale of goods, services, or assets.

Is this point of view unreasonable? If we accept this point of view, we also have to accept that other New Zealanders might want to consume now, or may want to avoid the risk associated with “high return” ventures.  Given this, it is both unreasonable and harmful to social welfare to try and force New Zealanders to save to effectively subsidise the risk of business owners – which is what compulsory savings will be.

Housing tax changes – will they lead to a leap in rents?

There have been a wide range of people saying that the changes to the tax treatment of property will lead to a leap in rents.  So will it?

I would say that the answer is yes, and no.  Here is why.

Read more

Green MP wants to limit access to universities

Sorry, that was just me interpreting a consequence of this article – where a Green MP stated that he wants to outlaw cold damp flats.  As he says:

“We know that there are a lot of cold damp rentals out there and that lots of people have to live in them because they don’t have the money to move.”

Exactly, so by reducing the supply of rental properties and driving up their price, this bill will ensure that students who move to the city to get access to university won’t be able to – and so will have their lifetime options cut down.  That is exactly what would have happened to me, if I hadn’t have been able to live in dingy dingy properties.

And of course, this ignores the costs of administering the scheme – are we going to have people constantly patrolling flats for quality now?  Won’t this lead to “black-market” rentals.  If they think there are external benefits to insulation, subsidise the damn thing – don’t run around with poorly thought out policy like this please.

Anyway, I’m off to watch the Phoenix play …

It’s funny because it’s true …

I suspect this is part of the reason why none of the economists I know play board games together …

Source SMBC.

It is true though, if you ever come out for drinks with us this is how we talk … hell, that is even how I plan on dressing in a few years time 😉

Update:  Eric Crampton points out another way of interpreting the comic:

Wait…maybe the comic means that there’s optimally a separating equilibrium. The all-economist games that are fun, and the non-economist games that would be far far less so….

I have to admit, if I was the little kid in this situation I would find the ranting about economics entertaining rather than scary – so Eric’s explanation makes sense to me.  When I was a little kid I liked to be the banker outside of the actual Monopoly game and have loans in the game, which would involve negotiating over interest rates – I thought it was brilliant but no-one else did …