Solving the prisoner’s dilemma

Saturday morning breakfast ceral has an excellent comic regarding the prisoner’s dilemma.  Of course, I was bound to appreciate it given my view that Jesus was an early applied economist.

A note on moral vice

Apologises in advance for this heavily value ladden post.  I am touching on infinitely busy (again), I’m very tired, and I’ve been listening to “too much” Irish music.  As a result, I’m posting what is in my head rather than proactively trying to find an economic issue to write “objectively” about – as this is easier, and it still involves getting a post done 😀

When forming my value judgments regarding “moral vices”, I like to listen to the Dubliners.  Having a proud Irish heritage helps in this regard, and I feel that they raise a number of important points regarding addiction to common commodities I can relate to (alcohol, women, cigarettes, roving).

Listening to their songs recently, two underlying points suck out – points I felt would be useful in informing part of the debate on alcohol regulation.

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A note on the ETS and inflation

I was about to post a comment on Eric’s blog – but then the comment got long, and I realised I needed a blog post.  So here it is.

Eric Crampton raises some important points regarding the Reserve Bank’s view on the ETS in New Zealand.  Essentially, they are ignoring it – a policy decision that a lot of analysts have disagreed with.  However, this is one of those cases where I would tend to side with the Reserve Bank, lets work through the discussion to figure out what value judgments I’ve made to get there 😉

UpdateEric discusses further here.

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GST does increase the incentive to save

In a recent Herald article (found on interest.co.nz, where I find it easier to read straight from the screen) Bernard Hickey discusses the increase in the goods and services tax and savings. The article makes a number of good points, but I do not agree with the conclusion.  For my thinking read below 😀

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Football Friday: Fifa World Cup 2010

Some of the writers from TVHE have grouped together with other football fans to write a football blog.  The current focus of this blog is on the 2010 Fifa World Cup.  It can be found here:

http://vuvuzelaventing.wordpress.com/

On the blog they go through their views on the different World Cup groups, and who they think will end up taking out the cup.  All very interesting.  I suggest you go along and have a look – they currently have posts up for groups A, B, and C.

Go the All Whites 😀

Economic analysis and politics

One quick point.  Everyone keeps telling me “but in political reality” whenever I say that there are trade-offs being missed in political party discussions.

I would like to point out that when an economist does analysis they don’t give two-cents worth of a care to this.  When it comes to making a policy it is essential, but it isn’t part of the first stage of description.

It is just like the “equity” trade-off with efficiency in economic analysis.  Economists focus on efficiency when describing a situation – but there are welfare trade-offs which imply that a policy based solely on efficiency is unlikely to be socially optimal.  An economist can go so far as discussing the trade-off by describing how deviations from the efficient allocation work – but they can’t sit down and say “this is what society wants”.

In the same way, I have no doubt that political actions are politically optimal – they are being determined by utility maximising individuals after all 😉 .  However, just because it is politically optimal doesn’t mean anything to me when I’m trying to discuss the framework and trade-offs inherent in the policy.

However, I have noticed that pointing out these trade-offs relative to the way political parties have been marketing themselves leads to a HEAVY amount of emotion and argument – which is fun. I suspect this is part of the partisan nature of politics.  I hope that people from each party understand that I attack all political parties on this blog with equal boring economic analysis, and some (hopefully transparent) priors.

Over the last few weeks it has also taught me that there are a number issues many of the parties don’t understand very well – even regarding their own policies.

Update:  To be absolutely clear here, I am talking about the political parties – not the excellent comments and emails that I have received from people about the issues.  The comments and emails have been intelligent and balanced, and I appreciated them greatly.  Furthermore, the criticism is not just of ACT and the Greens (given my recent posts about those parties) it is equally about ALL parties.  Fundamentally the discussion around policies has exposed confusion all around the show in my opinion.

This is fascinating, as I had assumed the parties were being manipulative rather than confused.  If I had to vote right now, I would struggle to pick anyone :/

Of course, I’m not too worried about this feeling – as I think political parties try to give the impression that they do a lot more than they actually do, be it the result of abridled ego or straight self-deciption 😉