Why does that sounds familiar?

Matt asks me to elaborate on an email exchange we had about the incentives that face economists. In particular, how could we explain smart macroeconomists parroting the value-laden, overtly political rhetoric of Krugman or Mankiw during the current crisis. Sure, Mankiw and Krugman have a stellar publication record and can afford to rest on their laurels, but that’s not the case for most. So why don’t they take this opportunity to show their chops and give us some macro insight into what’s going on? Read more

Happy St Patrick’s day

It is St Patrick’s day.  Although I’m not Irish, my father was extremely Irish – so this has to be a holiday on par with anything othere … hence why I’m at work 😛

I would like to think that the day is about my brother, Patrick (who makes tax calculators), but I think it’s about this guy.  He is celebrated for driving the Pagans out of Ireland – well that doesn’t seem particularly nice.  Hopefully he did so in a way that was a potential pareto improvement, and involved adequate compensation.

Anyway, have a good St Patrick’s day.

NoteHomepaddock and the Inquiring Mind are both celebrating as well.

Cramer v Stewart: a bit disappointing

I just watched the Jim Cramer vs Jon Stewart showdown on The Daily Show and I’m just not as impressed as some others. Stewart’s real problem with Cramer seems to be that he should have known that the meltdown was coming and told his viewers. By advising them to buy stock that he should have known was bad he is jointly responsible for the fomentation that led to the stockmarket crash. There are two reasons why I’m not convinced: Read more

Commerce Commision: Times are a changing

Paula Rebstock has resigned

Update: It isn’t on the Commission’s website yet but Mark Berry has been named the new chair. (I subscribe to the Commission’s news releases, loser I know!)

TVHE Twitter

Following a suggestion from Bernard Hickey (blog here) we have decided to set up a TVHE Twitter.

http://twitter.com/TVHE

If you use that and want to add us on go ahead 🙂

More bad tax policy …

There is a good reason why I want tax policy to be set independently – so that the true cost associated with the dumping of the regional fuel tax can be realised.

Lets ignore the conjectures and hyperbole about how we are raising funds to “electrify the railway”.  If government is going to spend a certain amount of money (which it is whether it is a regional body or a national body paying for the electrification) we should be interested in raising funds for this spending in the most efficient way possible.  Furthermore, we would prefer to tax in such a way that we actually get people who benefit from the spending to pay for it.

There are two ways that I see the fuel tax as more efficient than what the government is suggesting – which is effectively higher income taxes in the future.  Firstly, the fuel tax was an externality tax.  Because the social cost of fuel consumption is greater than the private cost the government can place a tax and (potentially) improve outcomes!  Even once this justification is used up, we have another one – Ramsey Pricing.  Demand for petrol is inelastic, so we can raise a set amount of revenue with a lower “dead-weight loss” (loss of happiness from the tax) than if we taxed goods with more elastic demand.

Secondly the fuel tax was at least partially targeted – as it raised the revenue for the public good work from the region where the work was going to happen.

Dumping the this tax implies that national income taxes will have to be higher than they would have otherwise been.  This implies that we are using a less efficient, and less targeted, means of taxation to achieve a level of government spending in Auckland and Wellington (which in this case just happens to be on a railway – something that needs to have its merits debated separately).  Bad policy.