On economics: Germs of choice

Recently Alex Coleman stated on twitter that he found economics ridiculous (in his defense, I specifically believe he is talking about macroeconomics – not the other 95% of economics that is not macroeconomics.  Also, he probably heard an economist on the radio – we always sound a bit ridiculous floating in the media).  That’s cool.  A lot of tweets were written by people, most of which I won’t bother replying to as they tend to be hogwash that people throw out when they know nothing about economics but just want to attack economists – it frustrates me, and I’d rather not be frustrated right now 😉 .

However, I read these sorts of threads as sometimes people make interesting points I had not heard, or had heard before but feel like I want to consider them more.  I found this comment by Danyl from Dim Post interesting in that way:

So what does that mean?  I’ll give it a go, and hopefully my discussion is in the same way he is considering it!

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Some broad lessons from the GFC

I had to do a brief chat about the Global Financial Crisis, “mistakes” that were made, and the role of the international financial architecture, for a organisation I’m not naming with people I’m not naming.  It was Chatham House rules, but nothing particularly rough was said – so I’m more not naming anything as I like to let people’s minds run wild!  Anyway, here are the notes I wrote for myself in preparation – make of them what you will.

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Taxing: Choice and policy consistency

Offsetting recently posted about a tweet by Gareth Morgan on eating and control, including a reply I popped up.  Essentially, Gareth’s tweet implied that the way individuals make choices indicates we have no choice over how much they eat.  I disagreed talking about precommitment – he stated I assumed perfect information, which is both a touch untrue and (surprisingly to many) irrelevant.

It did get me thinking though.  The two of us actually have almost exactly the same model of choice in our heads for this issue, and as a result any differences of view of on the appropriateness of policy that we might have are not due to differences in the underlying model. Read more

Discussion Tuesday

From here this claim:

Economics, psychology, and neuroscience are converging today into a unified discipline of Neuroeconomics with the ultimate aim of providing a single, general theory of human decision making.

Once again, remember that these are points for discussion – I am not saying I agree or disagree with them.

Dynamic comparative advantage: Costs and benefits, the case of Cuba

Political and economic systems are often fraught with emotional comparisons.  Few create more of an uproar than Cuba – with those on the far left seeing it as an ideal to aspire to, while libertarians view it as a fundamentally broken and immoral state.  However, no matter how we feel it is always useful to ask what the trade-offs are, and what “theories” these ideas are indicative of.  This is what Mieke Welvaert did on her recent post about Cuba trading doctors (Infometrics link here).

Cuba provides an interesting case study in how government policies can help individuals coordinate in their choice of job and educational attainment.  However, it also shows some of the costs of trying to generate a “dynamic comparative advantage”: the misallocation of human capital as people are pushed into specific areas, the restrictions to freedom required to solve the time inconsistency issue between government and the service providers, and ultimately the risk of being exposed to an industry ‘picked’ by a government.

In truth is does appear that one of the key issues, when looking at how the system works, is the freedom of choice of the individuals involved – understandably, people’s beliefs and judgement around this in ethical terms should drive their view on what is appropriate.

 

 

 

We are besieged by slippery slopes!