New Search

If you are not happy with the results below please do another search

134 search results for: predict

37

First home buyer help – lets repeat others’ mistakes

National has announced policy to support first home buyers to take on more debt. It will have an entirely predictable outcome: higher house prices and higher debt. This will drastically increase the cost of the homes, which are as of now being sold. I recently took the assistance of a company to sell my house […]

39

Everybody lies

Netflix makes a lot of money from understanding your viewing preferences and one thing they’ve learned is that ratings don’t matter, only viewing behaviour is predictive: Why do I see so many three- or even two-star movies in my recommendations? Gomez-Uribe: People rate movies like Schindler’s List high, as opposed to one of the silly […]

40

SMBC desribes macroeconomic forecasting

Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal is so so good.  And this cartoon is golden. Reminds me clearly on the description of economics given here – and why the determination to “make predictions” is a bit dodge.  I see Barry Ritholz is also chatting on these things, I will be posting about that at some point! And […]

42

Journalist OCR wager

Economists love wagers on beliefs – say as a tax on bullsh*t.  We have seen a wager in the past here between a series of economists on inflation. Well here is a wager between journalists – Rob Hosking (NBR) saying that the RBNZ will lift the OCR by Christmas, and Bernard Hickey (Interest.co.nz, Herald columnist) […]